Supply demand pdf forex

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What does a clean price action chart mean? No indicators or any other distractions. Just raw price action. See the example chart below. First you notice that price is in a trend higher. You then want to find long trades inline with the current trend. As this example chart shows, you get two potential trading signals to make a long entry. Price first pulls back into a clear demand support area where you could enter long. Price then makes a second pulback into the same demand zone before making another large move higher.

Finding Supply and Demand Trading Signals Once you have learned how to spot obvious supply and demand zones on your charts, you can then start using them to find both high probability trades and also manage your trades. You can use these levels to make very high reward trades and also to set your stop loss and profit targets. You can also use these same levels on all time frames.

Simple Supply and Demand Trading Strategies The next two examples of supply and demand trades are setups you will see and be able to use in your trading over and over again. They form on all time frames and repeat themselves time and again. In the first example you identify a clear demand level. Price has clearly found demand at this level multiple times.

If you are very aggressive you could just enter a long trade right from this level. If you are more conservative you could look to increase the odds of your trade by using a bullish Japanese candlestick to confirm your trade. In this example price forms a bullish engulfing bar at the demand level to confirm a long trade higher.

In the second example you notice that price is starting to make a move and trend lower. You also notice price break through a clear support level. When price moves back into this supply level you could start looking for short trades. Short trades here would be at an obvious supply level and inline with the trend lower.

Just like the first example you could also use a candlestick pattern to confirm the bearish move lower. In this example price forms a shooting star pattern to signal a move back lower. Lastly Being able to accurately identify and use supply and demand levels can take some time and practice. It is not as easy as downloading and using an indicator that tells you what to do and what direction to trade.

However, there are many benefits to supply and demand trading once you have mastered it. You can use it to find trades on all time frames and it will also help you with your stops and profit targets. Make sure you test out any new strategies on free demo charts before you ever risk any real money so you know that they work for you and you are completely comfortable with them. When there had been a bumper crop for the year there was in turn a large oversupply.

This forced the price of strawberries down to prices that they had not traded at in 10 years because of the huge oversupply in berries. Because of the massive oversupply compared to the demand of the berries, it meant that for most farmers to see any sales they had to adjust their prices accordingly lower them. This is how supply and demand affects price. Compare that to when the cyclones came through and ripped the majority of the banana crops out.

With a huge amount of banana crops out that year, it meant there was a huge under supply of bananas in the market. People still wanted their bananas and this created an in-balance in the market. Because there was now such a huge demand, but a small supply, the price went to over 10 x their normal prices in that short space of time, which is a clear example of supply and demand in action.

This supply and demand in action with every day goods is also how supply and demand controls the prices in the Forex markets. As other people saw this rush they did they same thing and the demand grew stronger and the price moved even higher. In the markets the very same principles are at play with the very same human behaviors and mistakes and this is why price action is so good for analyzing the markets because we can watch other traders behavior through the charts in live time price action order flow.

This level will not always hold and be a price flip level, but this is where traders have to watch their price action and look to their charts to gauge what the supply and demand levels are like. It is a traders job to not just be a pattern trader and look for patterns at levels, but it is the price action traders job to trade the price action and the price action story which means looking at the overall chart including when price moves back to the level and to gauge what the price action is doing?

How is it behaving? Does it have space to move into? Traders looking to make trades from the key supply and demand levels can use high probability reversal trigger signals such as the pin bar and engulfing bar, but the super important point is that these need to be played from the correct swing points.

The best method for hunting high probability reversal setups is to mark down the daily supply and demand levels on the charts and then use the same major level to either target trades on the daily time frame or other intraday time frames such as the 8 hour, 4 hour, 1 hour or possibly lower time frames always ensuring that the intraday setups are played during the optimum sessions of the UK and US trading sessions. Don't Make This Supply and Demand Forex Trading Mistake A big mistake that traders tend to easily fall into is making reversal trades from the incorrect areas on the chart, both from the incorrect swing points and supply and demand levels.

This can be an easy mistake to fall into, but can also be easily fixed with the correct trading education and practice. Where this can sometimes be tricky for traders is that price can make a shallow or small retracement with a reversal trigger signal rejecting a supply or demand area. An example of this scenario is below where both a pin bar and bearish engulfing bar BEEB are at an extreme low and would be at an extremely dangerous area to take short trades from.

As the example above shows; both the pin bar and BEEB are at a swing low and by taking a short trade from this pin bar and engulfing bar it would be shorting at a low or selling low and hoping for price to move even lower. As with any business in life, Forex is the same in that to make money you need to buy cheap and at sell at a higher price to make money or if short selling sell high and buy back lower.

Don't Mix These Up! There is a difference and traders need to take note of this. Just because a reversal trigger signal forms rejecting a supply or demand level, it does NOT mean it has formed at a correct swing point. What we are looking to avoid is the situation where price is in the chart above where price fires off a pin bar or another reversal signal at an extreme high or low where price has not made a rotation or retracement.

Traders can watch the weekly trade ideas where I post daily setups and commentary of the market to see how this works in the live market each day. When entering from supply or demand levels using reversals trigger signals it is even more important that this rule is followed of entering from the correct swing highs or lows because if entering from an incorrect swing point it will mean more often than not that you are entering at the extreme high or low where the big money is often looking to exit the market after a big move has been made.

As the chart shows below; after making a strong move lower there would be some big money in this move that would be sitting on paper profits or in other words; profits that until they close their trades are only seen on paper. After this large move lower, they would be looking to cover some of their position and take profit and this is often why at the end of these long strong moves either higher or lower, small rejection candles form such as small pin bars or rejection candles.

These are fake signals and why traders need to be careful trading reversal trigger signals from extreme tops or bottoms that have not retraced into swing points. After these large moves, the big money will look to take some profit and this will cause the market to pause or retrace back higher slightly and possibly create a small pin bar, but by entering the market at this time you are entering when the big guys are just getting out. This is also the period when price will normally rotate back into a value area and back into a key supply and demand area and give you a high probability trade to enter from a correct swing high or low rather than having to enter from the extreme high or low.

What normally happens after the profit taking has stopped is that price will roll back over and continue with the momentum in the same direction that price was trading in previous to the pause or retrace and if there was a small pin bar or rejection candle they will normally get run over.

To Finish Up The Forex and Futures markets are no different than any other market or any other everyday goods in that supply and demand plays a huge role in the outcome on where the price is and where the price will go in the future. For all the information the market analysts write about the fundamentals and certain news announcements, including who is going to be making what announcements etc, the truth is, where price goes all comes down to who wins the supply and demand battle.