Betting odds to win presidency

Now imagine following all of this with a decent chunk of money on the line. Despite polling averages suggesting a close race in Ohio, PredictIt has Vance as the nearly five-to-one favorite. Unlike in sports betting, there is no house determining the odds; user demand sets the market price.

In Ohio, for example, as more people wager that Vance will win, the price of his stock goes up, making it cheaper to buy a position on a Ryan victory. The site was relatively quiet until the election, when up to 17, users were joining each month. The company said it now has , users including the account I opened to get a sense of how it all works.

In August, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission ordered PredictIt to close in February , claiming that the site did not adhere to rules laid down eight years ago. The CFTC did not provide specifics in its public announcement, and Phillips said the regulator gave the company no additional information.

Since the order, PredictIt has stopped adding new contracts and has not yet determined how markets for will be resolved if the CFTC order is held up. To keep the site alive, PredictIt has filed a motion for a preliminary injunction in a U. Aside from the money available to win or lose , PredictIt has been controversial as a potential indicator in an age in which polling sucks , helping to show which candidates people believe in enough to put real money on.

While in the past, Trump has suggested that DeSantis would be unlikely to run against him, things may have changed. With Trump having a history of handing out endorsements based on loyalty, DeSantis refusing to kiss the ring could be a sign that he's seriously considering running against him. Joe Biden's odds of winning the US presidential election President Biden's approval rating has jumped a bit from its lowest point, hitting Biden's latest market prices on the Smarkets exchange give him just a Despite healthy growth in the US job market and relatively low levels of unemployment, the Biden regime continues to face plenty of obstacles.

Chief among them are surging inflation, high fuel prices, and global supply chains still hindered by the COVID pandemic. He's also dealing with criticism from his Democrat base, who feel like the party is losing key ground on issues like gun reform and abortion. With criticism from all sides, Biden might not even be the party nominee if the Democrats take a beating during the midterms.

Kamala Harris' odds of winning the US presidential election Harris has seen her odds tumble, but she remains the Democrat favorite if Biden decides not to run again. The Smarkets exchange gives her a Harris is having a rocky tenure as VP and is struggling to break ground with her two biggest projects, border migration, and national voting reform.

Harris was previously on the U. Senate and has also served as the Attorney General of California. At age 57, Harris entered her political prime and ran for the Democratic nomination in before dropping out to endorse Biden. While a sitting president has never been defeated by a primary challenger, every president who faced a strong primary challenge went on to lose in the general election.

At 79, Biden is already the oldest president in history. If he steps down due to his age and declining popularity, younger challengers and better communicators like Gavin Newsom or Pete Buttigieg will emerge.

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With Trump having a history of handing out endorsements based on loyalty, DeSantis refusing to kiss the ring could be a sign that he's seriously considering running against him. Joe Biden's odds of winning the US presidential election President Biden's approval rating has jumped a bit from its lowest point, hitting Biden's latest market prices on the Smarkets exchange give him just a Despite healthy growth in the US job market and relatively low levels of unemployment, the Biden regime continues to face plenty of obstacles.

Chief among them are surging inflation, high fuel prices, and global supply chains still hindered by the COVID pandemic. He's also dealing with criticism from his Democrat base, who feel like the party is losing key ground on issues like gun reform and abortion. With criticism from all sides, Biden might not even be the party nominee if the Democrats take a beating during the midterms. Kamala Harris' odds of winning the US presidential election Harris has seen her odds tumble, but she remains the Democrat favorite if Biden decides not to run again.

The Smarkets exchange gives her a Harris is having a rocky tenure as VP and is struggling to break ground with her two biggest projects, border migration, and national voting reform. Harris was previously on the U. Senate and has also served as the Attorney General of California. At age 57, Harris entered her political prime and ran for the Democratic nomination in before dropping out to endorse Biden. While a sitting president has never been defeated by a primary challenger, every president who faced a strong primary challenge went on to lose in the general election.

At 79, Biden is already the oldest president in history. If he steps down due to his age and declining popularity, younger challengers and better communicators like Gavin Newsom or Pete Buttigieg will emerge. Newsom served as the mayor of San Francisco from to and has been the governor of California since The November mid-term elections should be a good barometer of the voters' feelings. The latest president odds movements also show California Gov. Gavin Newsom his 5.

Right now, it looks like the GOP will win the election. The next question, then, is who will be on the winning ticket? He lost the last election by seven million votes. Can he overcome this deficit in ? Trump vs. DeSantis could be one heck of a showdown. The pair could take each other down if they engage in public warfare over the next two years. For now, this is a two-horse race.

These odds suggest a So why are the best bookmakers giving Trump such good odds? The first reason is that Trump still has a supportive base of loyal followers. The second is Trump seemingly has control of the GOP. And the third?

Biden is polling so badly that any Republican candidate would be leading him right now. Combined, Trump has a far better chance of winning the election than he had in or He is also considered a Trumpian figure for the next generation, which means he is a viable two-term candidate.

And DeSantis could also attract the centrist voters in the rust belt that Trump lost in The problem for DeSantis, though, is that he must get past Trump during the Republican primaries to get a stab at the Oval Office.

Trump became Florida's governor largely because he had Trump's endorsement in The former vide president is expected to challenge Trump for the Republican nomination in after the two former running-mates had a falling out thanks in part to the controversies surrounding the Capitol Riots where Pence said his life was put into danger.

Most experts don't see Pence pulling from Trump's base, but do expect the longtime politician to receive support from traditional conservatives looking to move on from Trump. Owens has previously speculated about the possibility of her running for president, but the conservative influencer — who will meet the legal requirement by turning 35 in — is probably too young. Still, the fact she was even talked about as a possible successor to Trump in the Republican Party shows she soon could enter politics.

There are a handful of top Democrats who likely will run for president in Here are the latest odds for some of the most likely Democratic candidates for These are long odds for an incumbent President expected to run again but a number of factors go into Biden's weak presidential election odds.

Maybe the most obvious, Joe Biden will be 81 years old when voters head to the polls in November of This isn't much older than Trump but many seem to believe Biden's age is impacting him more than his former foe. The current VP has seen her odds continue to lengthen since the start of the year, which isn't a surprise as the former Senator also has seen her favorability drop in the polls during that time period as well.

The Californian governor has led the state for the past two years and is a popular figure. He should beat Brian Dahle in the California gubernatorial election to shore up his support, and may then look toward the presidency. The former First Lady never ruled out running for president herself, and certainly would gain plenty of Democratic supporters. But can Obama capture the center ground as her husband did before her?

But pitching Obama against Trump could be a risky strategy for the Dems. The campaign could become very messy — and the fall-out even more severe. She was once to be president, when campaigning against outsider Trump in How times change. The year-old has never said she would not run for president again, but it does seem as though her chance has gone.

The New Yorker is a high-profile Democrat and considered a big threat to the Republican party. She is popular, concise and electable. She will probably support either Biden or Harris in the primaries. That fueled talk of a socialist revolution in the West, which was kiboshed when Trump won in Years later, Sanders is in a worse place to win an election than he ever has been.

When Trump first flirted with the idea of being president in , plenty of people laughed it off as a publicity stunt. The Rock certainly would prove a popular candidate, but is he really on the verge of running for president? A well-known political commenter and conservative influencer, Carlson has been discussed as a potential candidate to make the switch from entertainment to politics but there has been nothing official out of his camp to suggest he would run in Carlson is popular among Republican voters, though, so should he consider a run at any political office, expect him to garner plenty of attention.

He ran unsuccessfully in as an independent, collecting 60, votes from a possible million. The presenter and podcaster was also tipped to run in due to the success of the Joe Rogan Show. But his position within the GOP is more as commentator and cheerleader, rather than all-in politician. But it appears will be unlikely. He's ineligible. Presidential Betting Odds Explained Understanding presidential betting odds is hugely important before placing a wager.

Remember, you always can use a bet calculator — or check your risk and reward in your bet slip — before completing a wager. Why political odds are different to most sports odds is because there are more than two candidates in the market. This means that the odds can fluctuate wildly.

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Harris was previously on the U. Senate and has also served as the Attorney General of California. At age 57, Harris entered her political prime and ran for the Democratic nomination in before dropping out to endorse Biden. While a sitting president has never been defeated by a primary challenger, every president who faced a strong primary challenge went on to lose in the general election.

At 79, Biden is already the oldest president in history. If he steps down due to his age and declining popularity, younger challengers and better communicators like Gavin Newsom or Pete Buttigieg will emerge. Newsom served as the mayor of San Francisco from to and has been the governor of California since If the Democratic party decides to move on from candidates that were born before Willie Mays was a rookie Biden, Hillary Clinton, Elizabeth Warren, and Bernie Sanders were all born in the s , Newsom or Buttigieg could be excellent value plays.

AOC currently serves as a U. House of Representatives member, representing New York's 14th district. The politically savvy year-old has built a massive online following and will be turning the requisite age of presidential eligibility just before the election. Her biggest obstacle may in fact be her own party, with her more progressive views likely to alienate some of her colleagues unless they soften over time. She recently hit the news for criticizing the Biden administration for not doing more to help student debt.

The Rock's odds of winning the US presidential election What would election betting odds be without some celebrity long-shots? For one, Kanye West emerged as a massive underdog candidate in the last election. The former WWE champion and current action movie star has shown interest in politics and even stated in a Vanity Fair interview that he has done research into what that could entail.

The Republican party is favored to take the house and take more than 50 seats in the Senate. The pair could take each other down if they engage in public warfare over the next two years. For now, this is a two-horse race. These odds suggest a So why are the best bookmakers giving Trump such good odds? The first reason is that Trump still has a supportive base of loyal followers. The second is Trump seemingly has control of the GOP.

And the third? Biden is polling so badly that any Republican candidate would be leading him right now. Combined, Trump has a far better chance of winning the election than he had in or He is also considered a Trumpian figure for the next generation, which means he is a viable two-term candidate. And DeSantis could also attract the centrist voters in the rust belt that Trump lost in The problem for DeSantis, though, is that he must get past Trump during the Republican primaries to get a stab at the Oval Office.

Trump became Florida's governor largely because he had Trump's endorsement in The former vide president is expected to challenge Trump for the Republican nomination in after the two former running-mates had a falling out thanks in part to the controversies surrounding the Capitol Riots where Pence said his life was put into danger.

Most experts don't see Pence pulling from Trump's base, but do expect the longtime politician to receive support from traditional conservatives looking to move on from Trump. Owens has previously speculated about the possibility of her running for president, but the conservative influencer — who will meet the legal requirement by turning 35 in — is probably too young. Still, the fact she was even talked about as a possible successor to Trump in the Republican Party shows she soon could enter politics.

There are a handful of top Democrats who likely will run for president in Here are the latest odds for some of the most likely Democratic candidates for These are long odds for an incumbent President expected to run again but a number of factors go into Biden's weak presidential election odds. Maybe the most obvious, Joe Biden will be 81 years old when voters head to the polls in November of This isn't much older than Trump but many seem to believe Biden's age is impacting him more than his former foe.

The current VP has seen her odds continue to lengthen since the start of the year, which isn't a surprise as the former Senator also has seen her favorability drop in the polls during that time period as well. The Californian governor has led the state for the past two years and is a popular figure. He should beat Brian Dahle in the California gubernatorial election to shore up his support, and may then look toward the presidency. The former First Lady never ruled out running for president herself, and certainly would gain plenty of Democratic supporters.

But can Obama capture the center ground as her husband did before her? But pitching Obama against Trump could be a risky strategy for the Dems. The campaign could become very messy — and the fall-out even more severe. She was once to be president, when campaigning against outsider Trump in How times change. The year-old has never said she would not run for president again, but it does seem as though her chance has gone. The New Yorker is a high-profile Democrat and considered a big threat to the Republican party.

She is popular, concise and electable. She will probably support either Biden or Harris in the primaries. That fueled talk of a socialist revolution in the West, which was kiboshed when Trump won in Years later, Sanders is in a worse place to win an election than he ever has been. When Trump first flirted with the idea of being president in , plenty of people laughed it off as a publicity stunt. The Rock certainly would prove a popular candidate, but is he really on the verge of running for president?

A well-known political commenter and conservative influencer, Carlson has been discussed as a potential candidate to make the switch from entertainment to politics but there has been nothing official out of his camp to suggest he would run in Carlson is popular among Republican voters, though, so should he consider a run at any political office, expect him to garner plenty of attention.

He ran unsuccessfully in as an independent, collecting 60, votes from a possible million. The presenter and podcaster was also tipped to run in due to the success of the Joe Rogan Show. But his position within the GOP is more as commentator and cheerleader, rather than all-in politician. But it appears will be unlikely. He's ineligible. Presidential Betting Odds Explained Understanding presidential betting odds is hugely important before placing a wager.

Remember, you always can use a bet calculator — or check your risk and reward in your bet slip — before completing a wager. Why political odds are different to most sports odds is because there are more than two candidates in the market. This means that the odds can fluctuate wildly. Think of it like betting on a horse race months before the event begins. You're not sure who will be racing, let alone winning, and so the odds on Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris and everyone else are much higher before the primaries.

Once it's a one-on-one race, you can be sure the presidential election odds for the final two candidates will shrink. And the shorter your odds, the smaller your potential profits. On one side we have Donald Trump, the former president who holds great power over the Republican party, the right-wing media and his supporters. Where Trump is a polarizer, DeSantis could draw the GOP closer to the center ground and collect votes in the rust belt. He cannot be discounted here.

Meanwhile, the Democrats have a decision to make. Do they stick with the unpopular Biden and go all-in on a second term?